• mohd.shakib@smanik.com
  • January 27, 2017


  • High leadership ratings of Akhilesh
  • Good development work done by SP govt.
  • Popular social welfare schemes announced by govt.
  • Strong organizational cadre
  • Strong support among Muslim-Yadav voters
  • Advantage Akhilesh in feud in family
  • Cycle symbol with CM


  • Poor law and order situation in the state
  • Delay in announcement of alliance and candidates
  • Anti-incumbency against a section of his MLAs
  • Too much reliance on Akhilesh
  • Yadav family feud has dented image of party
  • Infighting among party cadre – MSY / SPY faction vs AY / RGY faction
  • Delay in casting his authority and tolerating corruption / in-efficiency / interference of MSY / SPY for 4.5 yrs
  • Rebel candidates


  • To form successive govt. in the state
  • Akhilesh – Emerge as tallest leader of UP, even capable of taking on Modi in 2019
  • Akhilesh – Come out of MSY shadow and establish his own legacy
  • Hand successive defeat to BJP in Hindi heartland
  • Become center of anti-Modi forces in 2019


  • Consolidation of Muslim votes in favour of BSP
  • Consolidation of OBCs in favour of BJP
  • Inability of Congress in transferring its vote share
  • Poor performance of Congress in seats allocated (more seats given IMO)
  • Yadav youth voting for Modi attracted by development image
  • High popularity ratings of Modi even after demonetization


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