• mohd.shakib@smanik.com
  • January 25, 2017


  • Modi, Modi, Modi – his popularity, corruption free tenure and pro poor programs
  • RSS cadre strong base
  • Strong support among upper castes
  • Good support for demonetization and surgical strikes against Pak
  • Good support among OBCs and even young non-Jatav Dalits / Yadavs
  • Solid funding to run a blistering campaign
  • Very high vote base in 2014


  • No CM candidate with state wide appeal to take on Maya-Akhikesh
  • Delay in announcement of candidates
  • Anti-incumbency against a section of its MPs
  • Anger in section of population (farmers, daily wage earners, small traders etc.) wrt demonetization
  • Too much reliance on Modi and lazy bums in local state unit
  • Infighting among party cadre
  • Too many tickets to dabdlus / turncoats


  • To form state govt. in the state in 1.5 decades
  • Win cements Modi’s position and makes bid for 2019 easy
  • Family feud and likely split in SP provides it an edge
  • Demonetization has impacted campaign of parties like SP / BSP
  • Poor law and order situation in the state


  • Alliance between SP-INC
  • Consolidation of Muslim votes in favour of INC-SP alliance or Mayawati’s BSP
  • Shift of sizeable upper caste votes to Maya
  • Public preference for Modi at center and Akhilesh / Maya in state
  • Poor performance of alliance partners like in Bihar
  • Akhilesh’s clean and pro-development image
  • Sympathy for Akhilesh in family feud and shift of focus away from shortcomings of his govt

For SWOT Analysis of Samajwadi Party Click Here

For SWOT Analysis of Bahujan Samaj Party Click Here

For SWOT Analysis of Congress Click Here


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