BJP led NDA has secured absolute majority 336 / 543 in 16th Lok Sabha. Not only this, BJP has also secured majority on its own (282). For the first time in 30 years after 1984, a party / alliance has got absolute majority. This is very good news for India and will take us beyond the shaky coalition era. Also its the first time that a non- Congress party has secured majority in Lok Sabha elections. Janata Party did get majority in 1977 after emergency but it was a coalition / umbrella where several parties joined to take on Indira just before the elections.
The mandate has stunned political pundits, while all of them predicted a NDA win or near win, nobody except for Today’s Chanakya predicted that NDA would get ~340 seats. Politicalbaaba estimated 266 seats for NDA. Where it went wrong will be analysed in detail in another post. However, I had said that if BJP gets <220 no Modi wave, 220-250 Modi wave, 250-280 Modi frenzy, 280+ Modi tsunami. It seems there was a tsunami.
The stupendous performance an be attributed to only one man – Modi. From the day he was appointed BJP Chief of Election Campaign to PM candidate the man has worked very hard. Attending 400+ rallies, criss-crossing entire India, visiting 25 states, delivering thundering speeches, drawing massive crowds.
From Kashmir to Kanyakumari this man was seen as one who could take India to new heights and solve it of all its evils. People voted for Modi irrespective of the background of local candidate. BJP and Modi fought Presidential style elections and the first time in Indian politics after Indira Gandhi, people voted on the basis of personality.
He has re-defined Indian political landscape and electioneering forever. Case studies can be made on his campaign. Use of high tech media, social media, strategically targeting youth power and raising issue of development.
TINA factor worked well for him as there was no competition. No other party declared a PM candidate, except for AIADMK (but it was a state party). Ruling party Congress was afraid of pitting Rahul against Modi. Strong anti incumbency wave against 10 years of UPA rule plus good governance model of Gujarat was played to the hilt by Modi to succeed. Even in UP and Bihar which are drenched deep in caste based politics and where minority community has size able population, BJP+ won 103 / 120 seats. This re-instates success of Modi formula of development.
Now starts the tougher journey for Modi, expectations are high, people want him to solve problems of plenty – inflation, low growth, unemployment etc. People are also impatient and would want to see results soon. Let’s see whether he can keep up on his promises. All the best Modi, all the best India, all the best Indians……
For All India Results Partywise please see: http://politicalbaaba.wordpress.com/elections-2014/all-india-2014-results-partywise/
Related post: Campaign Style of Top 3 Guns: http://www.hindustantimes.com/comment/indiapoliticswatch/how-the-top-guns-modi-rahul-and-kejriwal-campaign/article1-1218076.aspx