• mohd.shakib@smanik.com
  • July 13, 2017
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Will the mahagathbandhan survive? Will Nitish go back to NDA? The situation in Bihar is still fluid. Anything can happen. I examine here 5 possibilities which can still emerge. I rule out mid term elections as a possibility as MLAs across parties wouldn’t want to end their term mid way.

Image Credit: www.ndtv.com

Option 1

Tejaswi doesn’t resign;

Nitish Stays with Mahagathbandhan

 

Option 2

Tejaswi resigns;

RJD keeps supporting Nitish from outside

Option 3

Tejaswi doesn’t resign;

Nitish breaks alliance;

Joins NDA

Option 4

Tejaswi doesn’t resign;

Nitish breaks alliance;

BJP provides outside support

Option 5

Tejaswi doesn’t  resign;

RJD forms govt. with Sharad Yadav faction of JDU

Nitish is satisfied with Tejaswi explanation on corruption allegations.

Alliance continues.

Lalu buckles under pressure, asks son Tejaswi to resign. Under protest RJD withdraws all ministers.

But keeps supporting Nitish from outside.

This way Lalu prevents gharwapsi of NDA.

Tejaswi doesn’t resign. Nitish breaks ranks with RJD & Congress. Nitish goes back to NDA. BJP joins govt. Tejaswi doesn’t resign. Nitish breaks ranks with RJD & Congress. BJP provides outside support. Tejaswi doesn’t resign. Alliance breaks. RJD & Congress form govt. Sharad Yadav leads a small faction of JDU and provides support to Lalu.

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